Crops & Harvest Forecast

• Short cycle: Lettuce, broccoli, spinach, tomatoes, arugula, and other minor crops.

• Medium cycle: Indian Yam, Passion Fruit

• Long cycle: Coconut

Total Production Formula = (Planting Density per m²) × (Bed Area in m²) × (Number of Beds per Plot of Land) × (Number of Plots of Land) × (1 - Loss Rate)

Short Cycle

Lettuce Production Forecast for 10 Plots of Land

Variables Formula

The total lettuce production is calculated using the following formula:

• Planting Density: 12 lettuces/m²

• Bed Area: 25 m².

• Number of Beds per Plot of Land: 19

• Number of Plots of Land: Defined based on the cultivated area.

• Loss Rate: 15% (0.85)

Applied Example

1. Lettuce per bed: 12 lettuces/m² * 25 m² = 300 lettuces/bed.

2. Lettuce per plot of land: 300 lettuces/bed * 19 beds/plot of land = 5,700 lettuces/plot of land.

3. Lettuces in 10 plots of land: 5,700 * 10 = 57,000 lettuces before loss adjustment.

4. Applying a 15% loss: 57,000 * 0.85 = 48,450 effective lettuces.

Production Time

The lettuce production cycle depends on the cultivated variety:

• Loose-leaf lettuce: 30 to 45 days.

• Head lettuce (Iceberg, Romaine, etc.): 60 to 75 days.

With fast-growing varieties, up to 8-10 cycles per year can be achieved.

Additional Considerations

• The loss rate may vary depending on crop management and climate conditions.

• Factors such as soil health, irrigation, and pest control affect final production.

• Keeping production records is recommended to refine future loss projections.

Selling Price

Each lettuce will be sold wholesale in the range of $0.55 - $0.63 per unit.

Estimated Total Revenue per Harvest:

• Minimum: 48,450 lettuces × $0.55 = $26,647.50

• Maximum: 48,450 lettuces × $0.63 = $30,523.50

Annual Revenue Projection for Lettuce

• Revenue per harvest: $26,647.50

• Number of harvests per year: 5.

Annual Forecast: Total annual revenue = $26,647.50 USD/harvest × 5 harvests= 133,237.50 USD

Medium Cycle

Passion Fruit Production Forecast for 8 Plots of Land

Variables Formula:

• Area per plot of land: 629 m²

• Planting spacing: 3x3 meters (9 m²/plant)

• Plants per plot of land: 70

• Plants in 8 plots of land: 560

• Annual production per plant: 100 passion fruits

• Loss Rate: 15% (0.85)

• Annual production per plant with Loss Rate: 85 passion fruits

• Selling price per net: $3.01 (each net contains an average of 13 passion fruits)

Annual Revenue Calculation:

• Total annual production: 85 passion fruits/plant × 560 plants = 47,600 passion fruits

• Number of nets to be produced: 47,600 passion fruits ÷ 13 passion fruits/net = 3,661 nets

• Total annual revenue: 3,661 nets × 3.01 USD/net = 11,019 USD

Long Cycle

Coconut Production for 8 Plots of Land

Variables Formula:

• Area per plot of land: 629 m²

• Planting spacing: 7x7 meters (49 m²/plant)

• Plants per plot of land: 12

• Plants in 8 plots of land: 96

• Annual production per plant: 75 coconuts

• Loss Rate: 15% (0.85)

• Annual production per plant with Loss Rate: 64 coconuts

• Selling price per coconut: 0.79 USD

Annual Revenue Calculation:

• Total annual production: 64 coconuts/plant × 96 plants = 6,144 coconuts

• Total annual revenue: 6,144 coconuts × 0.79 USD/coconut = 4,853.76 USD

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Disclaimer: These are purely informational purpose statistics in USD, exchange rate and final amounts are subject to change, actual amounts can be found at Kokonut Adelphi Data Hub